What Trump’s win could mean for the climate crisis? | (जलवायु संकट के लिए ट्रम्प की जीत का क्या मतलब हो सकता है? )

Main Points In Hindi (मुख्य बातें – हिंदी में)

1. जलवायु नीति में बदलाव की संभावना: डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प के पुनः निर्वाचित होने से अमेरिका की जलवायु नीतियों में बड़ा परिवर्तन आ सकता है, जो न केवल राष्ट्रीय बल्कि वैश्विक जलवायु प्रगति को प्रभावित करेगा। उनके पहले प्रशासन में पेरिस जलवायु समझौते से बाहर निकलना और जीवाश्म ईंधन के समर्थन में बढ़ोतरी हुई थी, जो एक और बार देखा जा सकता है।

2. संघीय जलवायु पहलों में कमी: ट्रम्प के प्रशासन में जलवायु संघीय पहलों की वापसी की संभावना है, जिससे ऊर्जा, परिवहन और विनिर्माण क्षेत्रों में उत्सर्जन मानकों में कमी आ सकती है। यह कमी अमेरिका के अंतरराष्ट्रीय जलवायु चर्चाओं में प्रभाव को कमजोर कर सकती है।

3. ग्लोबल क्लाइमेट कमिटमेंट्स पर असर: अमेरिका द्वारा जलवायु उपायों से पीछे हटना अन्य देशों को भी अमेरिका की प्रतिबद्धता पर सवाल उठाने के लिए प्रेरित कर सकता है, जिससे उनके खुद के जलवायु लक्ष्यों में देरी हो सकती है। अमेरिका की भूमिका को काफी महत्वपूर्ण माना जाता है, और उसके पीछे हटने से वैश्विक जलवायु प्रयास को हानि पहुँच सकती है।

4. स्थानीय और निजी क्षेत्र की भूमिका: जबकि ट्रम्प का प्रशासन संघीय स्तर पर जलवायु पहलों को कम कर सकता है, राज्यों और स्थानीय सरकारों में हरित नीतियों के प्रति लचीलापन बना रह सकता है। निजी क्षेत्र भी हरित प्रौद्योगिकियों और टिकाऊ प्रथाओं में निवेश बढ़ा सकता है, भले ही संघीय समर्थन कम हो।

5. COP29 पर संभावित प्रभाव: ट्रम्प का कमरे में वापसी COP29 चर्चाओं और वैश्विक जलवायु पहल को प्रभावित कर सकता है। अमेरिका की जलवायु कार्रवाई में कमी अन्य देशों के बीच जलवायु कार्रवाई के प्रति झिझक पैदा कर सकती है, विशेषकर उन देशों में जो आर्थिक विकास के साथ जलवायु कार्रवाई को संतुलित करने की कोशिश कर रहे हैं।

Main Points In English(मुख्य बातें – अंग्रेज़ी में)

Here are the main points regarding the implications of Donald Trump’s potential return to the White House on climate crisis and policies:

1. Shift in U.S. Climate Policy: With Trump’s return, the U.S. may revert to the climate policies seen during his previous administration, which included withdrawing from the Paris Agreement and prioritizing fossil fuel production, potentially undermining both national and global climate efforts.

2. Federal Withdrawal and International Impact: Trump’s potential administration could signal a federal retreat from climate initiatives, sending a discouraging message to the international community regarding U.S. commitment to climate goals. This could lead other nations to question their own climate pledges and slow down their efforts.

3. Emphasis on Fossil Fuels: A focus on increasing fossil fuel production under Trump’s policies could hinder progress towards carbon reduction and the transition to renewable energy, impacting global climate targets and sustainable development.

4. State and Local Initiatives: Despite a decrease in federal engagement, some states, particularly those with progressive environmental policies, may continue to implement their own climate measures independently. However, these initiatives may face challenges without federal funding and support.

5. Private Sector and Global Dynamics: The private sector may maintain its focus on clean technology and sustainability despite federal setbacks, influenced by rising consumer demand and investor commitment to environmental standards. However, Trump’s stance could slow international climate cooperation, especially affecting developing nations dependent on U.S. support for their climate goals.

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Complete News In Hindi(पूरी खबर – हिंदी में)

Complete News In English(पूरी खबर – अंग्रेज़ी में)

As the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP29) approaches, there is a growing focus on the urgent need for unified action against the climate crisis. With Donald Trump potentially returning to the White House in 2024, the U.S. may experience another significant shift in its climate policy, impacting not only domestic environmental efforts but also global climate progress.

In June 2017, Trump announced that the U.S. would withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement. The formal process of exiting concluded on November 4, 2020, making the U.S. the first country to officially leave the global pact. This action marked a significant change in the country’s approach to climate policy and international cooperation on climate issues.

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If Trump returns to office, we could see a resurgence of the policies from his previous administration, which included withdrawing from the Paris Agreement, relaxing federal environmental regulations, and increasing fossil fuel production. His "America First" energy strategy could re-emerge, posing risks just as the world prepares for COP29.

Under Trump’s prior administration, federal climate initiatives were scaled back, focusing primarily on fossil fuel resources. If this trend continues, we may see relaxed emissions standards for industries like energy, transportation, and manufacturing, further diminishing the U.S.’s influence in global climate discussions.

For the U.S., which has historically been one of the largest contributors to global carbon emissions, a federal retreat from climate action could dissuade other countries and lead them to question America’s commitment to climate goals, potentially delaying or reducing their own climate efforts. Coordinated global action is essential to combat the climate crisis, and U.S. withdrawal could weaken collective resolve.

During Trump’s previous administration, fossil fuels like oil, gas, and coal were prioritized. Renewed focus on these energy sources could lead to increased production and less investment in clean energy, counteracting efforts to achieve global carbon reduction targets and a net-zero future.

The implications for the U.S. are severe, as fossil fuels are significant contributors to greenhouse gas emissions. Continued investment in fossil fuels could hinder emissions reduction goals and delay the transition to clean energy for decades. Trump’s stance may also slow progress in renewable energy markets globally, particularly in developing nations that see the U.S. as a model for industrial policy.

While a Trump administration may reduce federal initiatives, state and local governments in the U.S. could continue to pursue green policies. Progressive states like California, New York, and Washington may lead climate action through their laws and renewable energy investments, even in the absence of federal support.

However, without federal funding and policy backing, the reach and effectiveness of these state-level programs may be limited. States with ambitious climate goals could face challenges in expanding their programs without historical federal incentives and resources.

Despite federal rollbacks, the private sector may still drive demand for green technology and sustainable practices, as investors and consumers increasingly prioritize sustainability. Major companies are striving to meet Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) standards and respond to the growing consumer demand for eco-friendly products. The market for clean technology, focusing on renewable energy and electric vehicles, continues to grow—this trend is unlikely to reverse even if federal support wanes.

In fact, the shift away from federal regulation might encourage some sectors within the private market to adopt a more proactive stance on climate issues. Leading tech companies are committing to ambitious sustainability goals and advancing technologies like wind, solar, and hydrogen energy. While shifts in federal priorities may slow industry-wide acceptance, companies focused on sustainability are likely to continue pushing for a green economy.

On an international level, Trump’s presidency could impact discussions at COP29 and global climate commitments. Traditionally, the U.S. has played a significant role in climate summits, and Trump’s previous withdrawal from the Paris Agreement weakened multilateral climate goals. A similar retreat now may generate hesitance among other nations, especially those balancing economic growth with climate action. For developing countries relying on funding and support from wealthy nations to implement green policies, a shift in U.S. policy could complicate their climate objectives.

Trump’s reelection could deepen the divide between nations prioritizing aggressive climate action and those emphasizing economic growth over environmental concerns. As one of the largest economies, the U.S. has the power to enhance or disrupt international climate progress. Major polluters like China and India will closely monitor the U.S. climate stance, and a lack of U.S. leadership may diminish the effectiveness of future climate initiatives.

Despite the challenges presented by Trump’s potential return, the urgency to address the climate crisis remains significant. Climate issues transcend borders and political affiliations, making it crucial to foster a diverse coalition of stakeholders—scientists, activists, businesses, and local governments—as COP29 approaches.

The urgency to address the climate crisis has never been more pressing. Even if Trump’s administration pulls back on climate initiatives, growing consensus within the private sector and civil society may serve as a counterbalance. States, cities, companies, and communities now face the challenge of staying committed to environmental goals. As public awareness of climate issues increases, the demand for sustainable practices will continue to shape markets and propel technological advancements. The stakes are high, but global resolve for a sustainable future may yet overcome political challenges.

In a world where climate impacts know no boundaries, America’s role remains crucial. As we look towards COP29 and beyond, the need for collective action has never been clearer. Regardless of who occupies the White House, the journey towards a climate-resilient future must continue—boldly, resolutely, and united.

This article is written by Kavi Raj Singh, CEO and Director of Arthooth, and Sumit Kaushik, Research Scholar at OP Jindal Global University, Sonipat.

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